National Weather Service

Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 53 °F
Monday

Monday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 80 °F
Monday

Monday: Sunny
Sunny

Lo 58 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely

Hi 73 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely

Lo 60 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms then Slight Chance Showers And T-Storms

Hi 79 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Slight Chance Showers And T-Storms then Chance Showers And T-Storms

Lo 62 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms

Hi 73 °F

Soleil Weather Forecast

Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 23°
Monday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 72°
Monday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 41°
Tuesday

Rain likely
Rain likely
High: 60°
Tuesday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Low: 51°
Wednesday

Chance rain
Chance rain
High: 72°
Wednesday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Low: 55°

>

WxSim (Soleil Laurel Canyon) & NWS Forecast Comparison for Accuracy

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Morning Forecast
Updated: 11-19-14 at 8:55 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-19-14 66   50 49   24 65   54 47   26 65   56 49   29 66   53 47   36
11-18-14 72 32.3 35 49 16.7 13 67   46 49   20 65   47 47   21 64   56 49   26
11-17-14 72 31.2 50 47 22.8 21 73 32.3 33 49 16.7 15 68   46 49   20 66   49 48   23
11-16-14 70 31.2 66 45 43.7 45 74 31.2 49 46 22.8 26 74 32.3 33 51 16.7 19 68   45 51   25
11-15-14 68 31.2 50 47 36.2 31 69 31.2 43 46 43.7 33 72 31.2 40 49 22.8 23 72 32.3 40 50 16.7 21
11-14-14 69 31.2 47 48 24.4 22 68 31.2 51 48 36.2 29 70 31.2 45 46 43.7 34 72 31.2 41 49 22.8 24
11-13-14 68 31.2 51 49 22.6 25 68 31.2 51 48 24.4 24 69 31.2 53 48 36.2 31 70 31.2 45 47 43.7 34
11-12-14 67 31.2 64 52 36.1 49 69 31.2 63 49 22.6 48 68 31.2 62 47 24.4 47 69 31.2 61 49 36.2 46
11-11-14 66 31.2 69 49 47.7 38 67 31.2 61 51 36.1 50 69 31.2 65 50 22.6 51 69 31.2 66 47 24.4 51
11-10-14 74 31.2 65 52 45.3 37 66 31.2 67 50 47.7 36 67 31.2 60 51 36.1 47 68 31.2 64 50 22.6 49
11-09-14 79 31.2 68 52 33.5 36 75 31.2 72 50 45.3 37 67 31.2 69 50 47.7 37 68 31.2 62 51 36.1 48
11-08-14 80 31.2 57 52 35.9 33 80 31.2 66 52 33.5 33 77 31.2 70 50 45.3 35 69 31.2 67 49 47.7 35
11-07-14 75 31.2 65 51 31.7 38 80 31.2 61 52 35.9 35 80 31.2 67 52 33.5 33 76 31.2 70 51 45.3 35
11-06-14 76 31.2 62 53 38.0 42 75 31.2 67 52 31.7 42 78 31.2 60 53 35.9 37 78 31.2 67 52 33.5 36
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 2 2 0 1 0 4 0 1 0 3 0 0 1 1
% Succ     0.0 15.4   15.4     8.3     33.3     9.1     27.3     0.0 10.0   10.0
Ave Error 40.7   26.3 16.3   4.9 40.7   25.7 16.4   7.9 40.6   25.4 16.6   9.3 39.8   27.0 16.6   11.5
Net Error 40.7   26.3 16.3   -0.4 40.7   25.7 16.4   1.0 40.6   25.4 16.6   2.6 39.8   27.0 16.6   5.0
Std Dev 12.1   12.4 10.1   3.6 17.1   15.1 11.4   7.4 21.4   17.2 12.8   9.3 25.2   19.6 13.5   10.7

Afternoon Forecast
Updated: 11-19-14 at 2:55 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-19-14 66   47 49   24 65   53 47   26 65   55 49   28 66   51 47   35
11-18-14 72 32.3 33 49 16.7 10 67   45 49   21 65   51 47   23 64   55 49   27
11-17-14 72 32.3 40 47 22.8 21 73 32.3 34 49 16.7 13 68   47 49   20 66   50 48   24
11-16-14 70 31.2 58 45 43.7 38 74 32.3 46 46 22.8 21 74 32.3 30 51 16.7 16 68   44 51   25
11-15-14 68 31.2 45 47 36.2 26 69 31.2 45 46 43.7 38 72 32.3 47 49 22.8 23 72 32.3 41 50 16.7 22
11-14-14 69 31.2 40 48 24.4 22 68 31.2 54 48 36.2 28 70 31.2 47 46 43.7 40 72 32.3 49 49 22.8 24
11-13-14 68 31.2 41 49 22.6 22 68 31.2 48 48 24.4 22 69 31.2 53 48 36.2 27 70 31.2 45 47 43.7 39
11-12-14 67 31.2 64 52 36.1 39 69 31.2 63 49 22.6 33 68 31.2 51 47 24.4 24 69 31.2 54 49 36.2 32
11-11-14 66 31.2 71 49 47.7 38 67 31.2 65 51 36.1 42 69 31.2 58 50 22.6 40 69 31.2 56 47 24.4 39
11-10-14 74 31.2 69 52 45.3 34 66 31.2 67 50 47.7 35 67 31.2 65 51 36.1 42 68 31.2 58 50 22.6 40
11-09-14 79 31.2 66 52 33.5 34 75 31.2 66 50 45.3 34 67 31.2 67 50 47.7 36 68 31.2 65 51 36.1 42
11-08-14 80 31.2 62 52 35.9 34 80 31.2 63 52 33.5 31 77 31.2 66 50 45.3 33 69 31.2 67 49 47.7 35
11-07-14 75 31.2 56 51 31.7 30 80 31.2 58 52 35.9 33 80 31.2 63 52 33.5 30 76 31.2 65 51 45.3 32
11-06-14 76 31.2 70 53 38.0 38 75 31.2 63 52 31.7 35 78 31.2 61 53 35.9 37 78 31.2 65 52 33.5 33
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 2 6 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 2
% Succ     7.7 15.4   46.2     8.3     8.3     0.0     36.4     0.0 10.0   20.0
Ave Error 40.6   23.6 16.3   4.3 40.6   24.6 16.4   5.9 40.5   24.3 16.6   6.0 39.7   25.1 16.6   8.0
Net Error 40.6   23.6 16.3   -3.7 40.6   24.6 16.4   -2.6 40.5   23.9 16.6   -1.5 39.7   25.1 16.6   0.9
Std Dev 12.0   14.1 10.1   3.8 17.0   14.3 11.4   4.2 21.3   15.6 12.8   5.9 25.1   17.3 13.5   6.8