National Weather Service

Tonight

Tonight: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely

Lo 60 °F
Friday

Friday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms

Hi 71 °F
Friday

Friday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms

Lo 48 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 75 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 55 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 77 °F
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 54 °F
Monday

Monday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 80 °F

Soleil Weather Forecast

Tonight

Rain likely
Rain likely
Low: 57°
Friday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 68°
Friday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 47°
Saturday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 75°
Saturday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 51°
Sunday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 70°
Sunday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Low: 50°

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WxSim (Soleil Laurel Canyon) & NWS Forecast Comparison for Accuracy

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Morning Forecast
Updated: 11-19-14 at 8:55 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-19-14 66   50 49   24 65   54 47   26 65   56 49   29 66   53 47   36
11-18-14 72 32.3 35 49 16.7 13 67   46 49   20 65   47 47   21 64   56 49   26
11-17-14 72 31.2 50 47 22.8 21 73 32.3 33 49 16.7 15 68   46 49   20 66   49 48   23
11-16-14 70 31.2 66 45 43.7 45 74 31.2 49 46 22.8 26 74 32.3 33 51 16.7 19 68   45 51   25
11-15-14 68 31.2 50 47 36.2 31 69 31.2 43 46 43.7 33 72 31.2 40 49 22.8 23 72 32.3 40 50 16.7 21
11-14-14 69 31.2 47 48 24.4 22 68 31.2 51 48 36.2 29 70 31.2 45 46 43.7 34 72 31.2 41 49 22.8 24
11-13-14 68 31.2 51 49 22.6 25 68 31.2 51 48 24.4 24 69 31.2 53 48 36.2 31 70 31.2 45 47 43.7 34
11-12-14 67 31.2 64 52 36.1 49 69 31.2 63 49 22.6 48 68 31.2 62 47 24.4 47 69 31.2 61 49 36.2 46
11-11-14 66 31.2 69 49 47.7 38 67 31.2 61 51 36.1 50 69 31.2 65 50 22.6 51 69 31.2 66 47 24.4 51
11-10-14 74 31.2 65 52 45.3 37 66 31.2 67 50 47.7 36 67 31.2 60 51 36.1 47 68 31.2 64 50 22.6 49
11-09-14 79 31.2 68 52 33.5 36 75 31.2 72 50 45.3 37 67 31.2 69 50 47.7 37 68 31.2 62 51 36.1 48
11-08-14 80 31.2 57 52 35.9 33 80 31.2 66 52 33.5 33 77 31.2 70 50 45.3 35 69 31.2 67 49 47.7 35
11-07-14 75 31.2 65 51 31.7 38 80 31.2 61 52 35.9 35 80 31.2 67 52 33.5 33 76 31.2 70 51 45.3 35
11-06-14 76 31.2 62 53 38.0 42 75 31.2 67 52 31.7 42 78 31.2 60 53 35.9 37 78 31.2 67 52 33.5 36
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 2 2 0 1 0 4 0 1 0 3 0 0 1 1
% Succ     0.0 15.4   15.4     8.3     33.3     9.1     27.3     0.0 10.0   10.0
Ave Error 40.7   26.3 16.3   4.9 40.7   25.7 16.4   7.9 40.6   25.4 16.6   9.3 39.8   27.0 16.6   11.5
Net Error 40.7   26.3 16.3   -0.4 40.7   25.7 16.4   1.0 40.6   25.4 16.6   2.6 39.8   27.0 16.6   5.0
Std Dev 12.1   12.4 10.1   3.6 17.1   15.1 11.4   7.4 21.4   17.2 12.8   9.3 25.2   19.6 13.5   10.7

Afternoon Forecast
Updated: 11-19-14 at 2:55 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-19-14 66   47 49   24 65   53 47   26 65   55 49   28 66   51 47   35
11-18-14 72 32.3 33 49 16.7 10 67   45 49   21 65   51 47   23 64   55 49   27
11-17-14 72 32.3 40 47 22.8 21 73 32.3 34 49 16.7 13 68   47 49   20 66   50 48   24
11-16-14 70 31.2 58 45 43.7 38 74 32.3 46 46 22.8 21 74 32.3 30 51 16.7 16 68   44 51   25
11-15-14 68 31.2 45 47 36.2 26 69 31.2 45 46 43.7 38 72 32.3 47 49 22.8 23 72 32.3 41 50 16.7 22
11-14-14 69 31.2 40 48 24.4 22 68 31.2 54 48 36.2 28 70 31.2 47 46 43.7 40 72 32.3 49 49 22.8 24
11-13-14 68 31.2 41 49 22.6 22 68 31.2 48 48 24.4 22 69 31.2 53 48 36.2 27 70 31.2 45 47 43.7 39
11-12-14 67 31.2 64 52 36.1 39 69 31.2 63 49 22.6 33 68 31.2 51 47 24.4 24 69 31.2 54 49 36.2 32
11-11-14 66 31.2 71 49 47.7 38 67 31.2 65 51 36.1 42 69 31.2 58 50 22.6 40 69 31.2 56 47 24.4 39
11-10-14 74 31.2 69 52 45.3 34 66 31.2 67 50 47.7 35 67 31.2 65 51 36.1 42 68 31.2 58 50 22.6 40
11-09-14 79 31.2 66 52 33.5 34 75 31.2 66 50 45.3 34 67 31.2 67 50 47.7 36 68 31.2 65 51 36.1 42
11-08-14 80 31.2 62 52 35.9 34 80 31.2 63 52 33.5 31 77 31.2 66 50 45.3 33 69 31.2 67 49 47.7 35
11-07-14 75 31.2 56 51 31.7 30 80 31.2 58 52 35.9 33 80 31.2 63 52 33.5 30 76 31.2 65 51 45.3 32
11-06-14 76 31.2 70 53 38.0 38 75 31.2 63 52 31.7 35 78 31.2 61 53 35.9 37 78 31.2 65 52 33.5 33
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 2 6 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 2
% Succ     7.7 15.4   46.2     8.3     8.3     0.0     36.4     0.0 10.0   20.0
Ave Error 40.6   23.6 16.3   4.3 40.6   24.6 16.4   5.9 40.5   24.3 16.6   6.0 39.7   25.1 16.6   8.0
Net Error 40.6   23.6 16.3   -3.7 40.6   24.6 16.4   -2.6 40.5   23.9 16.6   -1.5 39.7   25.1 16.6   0.9
Std Dev 12.0   14.1 10.1   3.8 17.0   14.3 11.4   4.2 21.3   15.6 12.8   5.9 25.1   17.3 13.5   6.8