National Weather Service

Tonight

Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 31. Calm wind.
Partly Cloudy


Lo 31 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Rain likely, mainly after 2pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Chance Rain
then Rain
Likely

Hi 52 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Rain likely, mainly after 2pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Chance Rain
then Rain
Likely

Lo 44 °F
Monday

Monday: A 50 percent chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph.
Chance
Showers

Hi 60 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph.
Chance
Showers

Lo 47 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 64. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Showers
Likely

Hi 64 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Showers likely.  Cloudy, with a low around 50. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Showers
Likely

Lo 50 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: A 40 percent chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60.
Chance
Showers

Hi 60 °F

Soleil Weather Forecast

Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 29°
Sunday

Chance rain
Chance rain
High: 53°
Sunday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Low: 42°
Monday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 64°
Monday
night
Cloudy
Cloudy
Low: 45°
Tuesday

Rain likely
Rain likely
High: 56°
Tuesday
night
Rain likely
Rain likely
Low: 52°

>

WxSim (Soleil Laurel Canyon) & NWS Forecast Comparison for Accuracy

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Morning Forecast
Updated: 11-19-14 at 8:55 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-19-14 66   50 49   24 65   54 47   26 65   56 49   29 66   53 47   36
11-18-14 72 32.3 35 49 16.7 13 67   46 49   20 65   47 47   21 64   56 49   26
11-17-14 72 31.2 50 47 22.8 21 73 32.3 33 49 16.7 15 68   46 49   20 66   49 48   23
11-16-14 70 31.2 66 45 43.7 45 74 31.2 49 46 22.8 26 74 32.3 33 51 16.7 19 68   45 51   25
11-15-14 68 31.2 50 47 36.2 31 69 31.2 43 46 43.7 33 72 31.2 40 49 22.8 23 72 32.3 40 50 16.7 21
11-14-14 69 31.2 47 48 24.4 22 68 31.2 51 48 36.2 29 70 31.2 45 46 43.7 34 72 31.2 41 49 22.8 24
11-13-14 68 31.2 51 49 22.6 25 68 31.2 51 48 24.4 24 69 31.2 53 48 36.2 31 70 31.2 45 47 43.7 34
11-12-14 67 31.2 64 52 36.1 49 69 31.2 63 49 22.6 48 68 31.2 62 47 24.4 47 69 31.2 61 49 36.2 46
11-11-14 66 31.2 69 49 47.7 38 67 31.2 61 51 36.1 50 69 31.2 65 50 22.6 51 69 31.2 66 47 24.4 51
11-10-14 74 31.2 65 52 45.3 37 66 31.2 67 50 47.7 36 67 31.2 60 51 36.1 47 68 31.2 64 50 22.6 49
11-09-14 79 31.2 68 52 33.5 36 75 31.2 72 50 45.3 37 67 31.2 69 50 47.7 37 68 31.2 62 51 36.1 48
11-08-14 80 31.2 57 52 35.9 33 80 31.2 66 52 33.5 33 77 31.2 70 50 45.3 35 69 31.2 67 49 47.7 35
11-07-14 75 31.2 65 51 31.7 38 80 31.2 61 52 35.9 35 80 31.2 67 52 33.5 33 76 31.2 70 51 45.3 35
11-06-14 76 31.2 62 53 38.0 42 75 31.2 67 52 31.7 42 78 31.2 60 53 35.9 37 78 31.2 67 52 33.5 36
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 2 2 0 1 0 4 0 1 0 3 0 0 1 1
% Succ     0.0 15.4   15.4     8.3     33.3     9.1     27.3     0.0 10.0   10.0
Ave Error 40.7   26.3 16.3   4.9 40.7   25.7 16.4   7.9 40.6   25.4 16.6   9.3 39.8   27.0 16.6   11.5
Net Error 40.7   26.3 16.3   -0.4 40.7   25.7 16.4   1.0 40.6   25.4 16.6   2.6 39.8   27.0 16.6   5.0
Std Dev 12.1   12.4 10.1   3.6 17.1   15.1 11.4   7.4 21.4   17.2 12.8   9.3 25.2   19.6 13.5   10.7

Afternoon Forecast
Updated: 11-19-14 at 2:55 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-19-14 66   47 49   24 65   53 47   26 65   55 49   28 66   51 47   35
11-18-14 72 32.3 33 49 16.7 10 67   45 49   21 65   51 47   23 64   55 49   27
11-17-14 72 32.3 40 47 22.8 21 73 32.3 34 49 16.7 13 68   47 49   20 66   50 48   24
11-16-14 70 31.2 58 45 43.7 38 74 32.3 46 46 22.8 21 74 32.3 30 51 16.7 16 68   44 51   25
11-15-14 68 31.2 45 47 36.2 26 69 31.2 45 46 43.7 38 72 32.3 47 49 22.8 23 72 32.3 41 50 16.7 22
11-14-14 69 31.2 40 48 24.4 22 68 31.2 54 48 36.2 28 70 31.2 47 46 43.7 40 72 32.3 49 49 22.8 24
11-13-14 68 31.2 41 49 22.6 22 68 31.2 48 48 24.4 22 69 31.2 53 48 36.2 27 70 31.2 45 47 43.7 39
11-12-14 67 31.2 64 52 36.1 39 69 31.2 63 49 22.6 33 68 31.2 51 47 24.4 24 69 31.2 54 49 36.2 32
11-11-14 66 31.2 71 49 47.7 38 67 31.2 65 51 36.1 42 69 31.2 58 50 22.6 40 69 31.2 56 47 24.4 39
11-10-14 74 31.2 69 52 45.3 34 66 31.2 67 50 47.7 35 67 31.2 65 51 36.1 42 68 31.2 58 50 22.6 40
11-09-14 79 31.2 66 52 33.5 34 75 31.2 66 50 45.3 34 67 31.2 67 50 47.7 36 68 31.2 65 51 36.1 42
11-08-14 80 31.2 62 52 35.9 34 80 31.2 63 52 33.5 31 77 31.2 66 50 45.3 33 69 31.2 67 49 47.7 35
11-07-14 75 31.2 56 51 31.7 30 80 31.2 58 52 35.9 33 80 31.2 63 52 33.5 30 76 31.2 65 51 45.3 32
11-06-14 76 31.2 70 53 38.0 38 75 31.2 63 52 31.7 35 78 31.2 61 53 35.9 37 78 31.2 65 52 33.5 33
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 2 6 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 2
% Succ     7.7 15.4   46.2     8.3     8.3     0.0     36.4     0.0 10.0   20.0
Ave Error 40.6   23.6 16.3   4.3 40.6   24.6 16.4   5.9 40.5   24.3 16.6   6.0 39.7   25.1 16.6   8.0
Net Error 40.6   23.6 16.3   -3.7 40.6   24.6 16.4   -2.6 40.5   23.9 16.6   -1.5 39.7   25.1 16.6   0.9
Std Dev 12.0   14.1 10.1   3.8 17.0   14.3 11.4   4.2 21.3   15.6 12.8   5.9 25.1   17.3 13.5   6.8