National Weather Service

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely

Hi 84 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely

Lo 70 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely

Hi 85 °F
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms

Lo 70 °F
Monday

Monday: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely

Hi 85 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely

Lo 72 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely

Hi 85 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely

Lo 68 °F

Soleil Weather Forecast

This
afternoon
Fog
Fog
High: 79°
Tonight

Rain likely
Rain likely
Low: 73°
Sunday

Chance rain
Chance rain
High: 86°
Sunday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Low: 73°
Monday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 79°
Monday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 69°
Tuesday

Rain likely
Rain likely
High: 77°
Tuesday
night
Fog
Fog
Low: 68°
>

WxSim (Soleil Laurel Canyon) & NWS Forecast Comparison for Accuracy

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Morning Forecast
Updated: 11-19-14 at 8:55 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-19-14 66   50 49   24 65   54 47   26 65   56 49   29 66   53 47   36
11-18-14 72 32.3 35 49 16.7 13 67   46 49   20 65   47 47   21 64   56 49   26
11-17-14 72 31.2 50 47 22.8 21 73 32.3 33 49 16.7 15 68   46 49   20 66   49 48   23
11-16-14 70 31.2 66 45 43.7 45 74 31.2 49 46 22.8 26 74 32.3 33 51 16.7 19 68   45 51   25
11-15-14 68 31.2 50 47 36.2 31 69 31.2 43 46 43.7 33 72 31.2 40 49 22.8 23 72 32.3 40 50 16.7 21
11-14-14 69 31.2 47 48 24.4 22 68 31.2 51 48 36.2 29 70 31.2 45 46 43.7 34 72 31.2 41 49 22.8 24
11-13-14 68 31.2 51 49 22.6 25 68 31.2 51 48 24.4 24 69 31.2 53 48 36.2 31 70 31.2 45 47 43.7 34
11-12-14 67 31.2 64 52 36.1 49 69 31.2 63 49 22.6 48 68 31.2 62 47 24.4 47 69 31.2 61 49 36.2 46
11-11-14 66 31.2 69 49 47.7 38 67 31.2 61 51 36.1 50 69 31.2 65 50 22.6 51 69 31.2 66 47 24.4 51
11-10-14 74 31.2 65 52 45.3 37 66 31.2 67 50 47.7 36 67 31.2 60 51 36.1 47 68 31.2 64 50 22.6 49
11-09-14 79 31.2 68 52 33.5 36 75 31.2 72 50 45.3 37 67 31.2 69 50 47.7 37 68 31.2 62 51 36.1 48
11-08-14 80 31.2 57 52 35.9 33 80 31.2 66 52 33.5 33 77 31.2 70 50 45.3 35 69 31.2 67 49 47.7 35
11-07-14 75 31.2 65 51 31.7 38 80 31.2 61 52 35.9 35 80 31.2 67 52 33.5 33 76 31.2 70 51 45.3 35
11-06-14 76 31.2 62 53 38.0 42 75 31.2 67 52 31.7 42 78 31.2 60 53 35.9 37 78 31.2 67 52 33.5 36
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 2 2 0 1 0 4 0 1 0 3 0 0 1 1
% Succ     0.0 15.4   15.4     8.3     33.3     9.1     27.3     0.0 10.0   10.0
Ave Error 40.7   26.3 16.3   4.9 40.7   25.7 16.4   7.9 40.6   25.4 16.6   9.3 39.8   27.0 16.6   11.5
Net Error 40.7   26.3 16.3   -0.4 40.7   25.7 16.4   1.0 40.6   25.4 16.6   2.6 39.8   27.0 16.6   5.0
Std Dev 12.1   12.4 10.1   3.6 17.1   15.1 11.4   7.4 21.4   17.2 12.8   9.3 25.2   19.6 13.5   10.7

Afternoon Forecast
Updated: 11-19-14 at 2:55 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-19-14 66   47 49   24 65   53 47   26 65   55 49   28 66   51 47   35
11-18-14 72 32.3 33 49 16.7 10 67   45 49   21 65   51 47   23 64   55 49   27
11-17-14 72 32.3 40 47 22.8 21 73 32.3 34 49 16.7 13 68   47 49   20 66   50 48   24
11-16-14 70 31.2 58 45 43.7 38 74 32.3 46 46 22.8 21 74 32.3 30 51 16.7 16 68   44 51   25
11-15-14 68 31.2 45 47 36.2 26 69 31.2 45 46 43.7 38 72 32.3 47 49 22.8 23 72 32.3 41 50 16.7 22
11-14-14 69 31.2 40 48 24.4 22 68 31.2 54 48 36.2 28 70 31.2 47 46 43.7 40 72 32.3 49 49 22.8 24
11-13-14 68 31.2 41 49 22.6 22 68 31.2 48 48 24.4 22 69 31.2 53 48 36.2 27 70 31.2 45 47 43.7 39
11-12-14 67 31.2 64 52 36.1 39 69 31.2 63 49 22.6 33 68 31.2 51 47 24.4 24 69 31.2 54 49 36.2 32
11-11-14 66 31.2 71 49 47.7 38 67 31.2 65 51 36.1 42 69 31.2 58 50 22.6 40 69 31.2 56 47 24.4 39
11-10-14 74 31.2 69 52 45.3 34 66 31.2 67 50 47.7 35 67 31.2 65 51 36.1 42 68 31.2 58 50 22.6 40
11-09-14 79 31.2 66 52 33.5 34 75 31.2 66 50 45.3 34 67 31.2 67 50 47.7 36 68 31.2 65 51 36.1 42
11-08-14 80 31.2 62 52 35.9 34 80 31.2 63 52 33.5 31 77 31.2 66 50 45.3 33 69 31.2 67 49 47.7 35
11-07-14 75 31.2 56 51 31.7 30 80 31.2 58 52 35.9 33 80 31.2 63 52 33.5 30 76 31.2 65 51 45.3 32
11-06-14 76 31.2 70 53 38.0 38 75 31.2 63 52 31.7 35 78 31.2 61 53 35.9 37 78 31.2 65 52 33.5 33
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 2 6 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 2
% Succ     7.7 15.4   46.2     8.3     8.3     0.0     36.4     0.0 10.0   20.0
Ave Error 40.6   23.6 16.3   4.3 40.6   24.6 16.4   5.9 40.5   24.3 16.6   6.0 39.7   25.1 16.6   8.0
Net Error 40.6   23.6 16.3   -3.7 40.6   24.6 16.4   -2.6 40.5   23.9 16.6   -1.5 39.7   25.1 16.6   0.9
Std Dev 12.0   14.1 10.1   3.8 17.0   14.3 11.4   4.2 21.3   15.6 12.8   5.9 25.1   17.3 13.5   6.8